What’s happening

Attention turns to the city of Rafah as the conflict in the Gaza Strip intensifies. Despite Khan Yunis often being the media’s focal point due to its strategical importance, Rafah presents a series of complex challenges that have implications for Israel’s relations with Egypt and the broader international community.

Why it matters

Rafah’s unique position as a divided city on the border of the Gaza Strip and Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula makes it a flashpoint for tension. The ongoing conflict implicates everything from the smuggling of weapons to the potential for refugee crises, posing risks to the longstanding peace agreement between Israel and Egypt. The city’s status could also have significant consequences under international law for Israel regarding the governance of the Gaza Strip’s economy and the well-being of its residents.

Deepening Complexities

The potential Israeli occupation of Rafah and the adjacent Philadelphi Corridor risks violating the peace treaty with Egypt, provoking military confrontation between Israeli and Egyptian forces, and obligating Israel to assume greater responsibility in Gaza, as per international law.

Regional Dynamics

An Israeli presence in Rafah would put Egypt in a difficult position—forcing it to choose between collaboration on security and risking the perception of aiding Israel in controlling Gaza. With Egypt acting as a crucial mediator between Israel and various Palestinian authorities, any Israeli operations in Rafah would necessitate careful negotiation and alignment with Egyptian policies.

International Implications

Internationally, control over the Rafah crossing has deep implications for how Israel is viewed in regard to the Gaza Strip. Should Israel take control, it would be seen globally as responsible for the Strip’s population, a role Israel has stated it does not desire. The forward path calls for concerted coordination with Egypt, whose role as a mediator remains vital for peace and stability in the region.

The Bigger Picture

Israel’s long-term strategy for the Gaza Strip is unclear, with the government specifying what it opposes but not what it envisions for the future. As regional powers like Egypt could be pulled into future governance arrangements, it is vital that Israel consider their positions, particularly around Rafah and the Philadelphi Corridor, to avoid regional unrest or a resurgence of hostile elements such as the Muslim Brotherhood.

Expert Insight

Dr. Nachum Shiloh of the Dayan Center at Tel Aviv University provides analysis on the strategic complications that Rafah poses, emphasizing the need for Israel to consider bilateral relations and international obligations as conflict in the area develops.

This story was first published on jpost.com.