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    Israeli Defense Forces Anticipated Northern Threats Prior to Gaza Conflict

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    What’s happening:

    In the months leading up to the Hamas attack on October 7, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) conducted training exercises in preparation for a potential incursion by Hezbollah forces into Israel’s northern Galilee region.

    Why it matters:

    The IDF’s focus on the northern front, specifically on the threat posed by Hezbollah, underscores the military’s assessment that the Iran-backed group posed a more imminent threat than Hamas in the south. This strategic prioritization came about despite the IDF’s belief that Hamas had been effectively deterred and the Gaza border was secure.

    Background:

    Hezbollah’s presence near the Israel-Lebanon border had been growing, with the establishment of 30 military posts and observation towers. This buildup was in violation of UN Resolution 1701, which aimed to resolve the 2006 Lebanon War. The IDF’s Radwan force, hardened by combat experience in the Syrian civil war, was identified as particularly provocative and ready for confrontation.

    Training for the worst:

    Elite IDF units were sent to simulate defensive scenarios against Hezbollah’s elite Radwan forces. These exercises included preparations for scenarios in which terrorists might block main roads, disrupting the movement of Israeli reinforcements.

    Strategic implications:

    Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has emphasized the threat from Hezbollah as Israel’s primary security concern. He has advocated for a preemptive strike against targets in South Lebanon, contingent upon the resolution of the hostage situation in Gaza.

    The bigger picture:

    The IDF’s preemptive training and strategic focus on the northern front highlight Israel’s ongoing security challenges on multiple borders. The situation reflects the complexity of Israel’s defense posture, where multiple non-state actors pose distinct threats requiring tailored responses.

    This story was first published on ynetnews.

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