What it is about
Israel is closely watching the rapid advancements of rebel forces against the Syrian army, which could potentially threaten the regime of President Bashar al-Assad. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Israeli security officials are carefully assessing the situation as concerns grow about the sudden weakness of the Syrian defenses. Israel is also communicating with the rebels, urging them to steer clear of the Israeli border.
Why it matters
The instability and potential collapse of the Syrian army pose a significant concern for Israel due to its proximity to the Israeli border and the involvement of forces like Hezbollah, backed by Iran. Israel is enforcing strict measures to prevent weapons falling into the hands of Hezbollah, and it’s working to prevent increases in Iranian military presence, which could compromise Israeli security. This issue is escalating as rebel forces, led primarily by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), continue their aggressive push southwards after recent victories in cities like Aleppo and Hama.
The bigger picture
The challenges in Syria have been long-standing. The war-torn region had seen a lull in significant conflict, but the resurgence of rebel activity underscores unresolved tensions. For Israel, the chaos presents a double-edged sword: both the threat from radical jihadist groups and organizations influenced by Iran, such as Hezbollah. Additionally, Israel sees an advantage in the rebels and regime forces weakening each other without its direct involvement.
What to watch
The evolving circumstances include several focal points for Israel: ensuring that no threat reaches its borders, handling a potential influx of militant activities, and working diplomatically to tackle Iranian expansionism. Israeli Defense Forces are on high alert, prepared for any reflection of hostility. Israel aims to navigate this volatile environment without exacerbating the situation yet fully prepared for an active response if direct threats arise to its statehood and citizens’ safety.
This story was first published on timesofisrael.com.