What’s New:

The Islamic State extremist group has taken responsibility for the devastating suicide bombings at a commemoration event in Iran, which marked the anniversary of the death of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani, killing at least 84 and wounding 284.

Why It Matters:

This assault is considered the most significant terror incident to hit Iran in many years and occurs amidst intense regional tensions, including the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas.

The Big Picture:

The Islamic State named the attackers and claimed the strikes were carried out with explosive vests during the memorial service. The group’s strategy appears to be inciting further chaos in the region, seeking to extend the conflict between Iran and Israel.

State of Play:

Analysts believe that the Islamic State hopes Iran’s response will draw Israel into a broader regional war, which the terrorist organization could exploit to its advantage despite being significantly weakened in recent years.

By the Numbers:

The violence targeted commemorative events in Kerman for Gen. Qassem Soleimani, who has become an icon to supporters of Iran’s government but was seen by the U.S. as having strong ties to groups that had killed American troops in Iraq.

What They’re Saying:

Experts on jihadist movements acknowledge IS’s claim as authentic and consistent with their tactics, which focus on large-scale attacks to fuel instability. Aaron Z. Zelin, an authority on the group, likens their disruptive aims to the character of the Joker, desiring to watch the world burn for their benefit.

Context:

The backdrop includes escalating conflicts, with a recent surge in violence by Hamas, supported by Iran, against Israel, and the ongoing repercussions of the 2020 killing of Soleimani by a U.S. drone.

Between the Lines:

The Islamic State, although disorganized after losing much of its controlled territory, remains capable of orchestrating significant attacks in the region. Iran’s immediate response to the claim has been silence, with state media focusing on reporting details of the bombing.

Be Smart:

While Iran commemorated the death of a key military figure, the dual bombings signify potential elevation in tactics by IS, aiming to create broader conflicts amidst a period of regional uncertainty.

What We’re Watching:

The aftermath of the attack is expected to further strain regional tensions with potential repercussions that could affect the balance of power and security in the Middle East.

The Response:

Iranian officials and media have confirmed the bombings, with state television providing footage and details of the attacks. The situation remains fluid, with the death toll likely to rise due to the number of critical injuries. Official reactions and strategic responses from both Iran and global actors remain to be seen.

Bottom Line:

The Islamic State’s claim of responsibility for the devastating attack on the Soleimani memorial in Iran underscores the group’s intent to disrupt regional stability and capitalize on conflicts, with wide-reaching implications for the Middle East.

This story was first published on timesofisrael.com.