What it is about
Marked by Defense Minister Yoav Gallant’s announcement of a “new phase” in the ongoing conflict, and amidst reported Israeli attacks causing explosions in Lebanon, it appears an all-out combat between Israel and Hezbollah is increasingly likely.
Why it matters
With diplomatic avenues seemingly closing, Israel has intensified its military buildup along the northern border. These changes signal Israel’s commitment to altering the status quo with Hezbollah, following the militant group’s continuous cross-border attacks since October 8.
Preparing for Potential Conflict
Troops Reinforcement
Israel has strategically redeployed a formidable fighting force to the northern border, including the addition of a powerful army division previously engaged in significant operations in Gaza. This division, including paratrooper infantry units, artillery, and elite commando forces, has been verified through anonymous military sources.
Military Exercises
The IDF has conducted a series of drills in the northern region. Maj. Gen. Ori Gordin of the IDF’s Northern Command declared, “The mission is clear; we are determined to change the security reality as soon as possible.”
Shifting Strategy: A ‘New Phase’ of War
Political Rhetoric
Defense Minister Gallant emphasized Israel’s focus is now predominantly on Hezbollah, aligning with recent cabinet decisions to formalize the return of displaced northern residents as a war goal.
Decision-making
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterated the stance during talks with U.S. envoy Amos Hochstein, underscoring Israel’s necessary actions to ensure national security, with or without U.S. support.
Is War Inevitable?
As public pressures mount for tougher responses against Hezbollah, it becomes vital to observe Hezbollah’s leader Hassan Nasrallah’s upcoming address. Public sentiment within Israel also strongly supports a more aggressive stance, with a significant proportion backing an intensified military response.
Past and Future Implications
The history of conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, notably the month-long 2006 war and its stalemate conclusion, illustrates the dire potential outcomes for both sides. However, today’s Hezbollah unique challenges and threats through advanced weaponry could lead to an even costlier and more devastating confrontation.
This story was first published on timesofisrael.com.