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    IDI Poll: Majority of Israelis Pessimistic on Hostage Release, Ceasefire

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    What it is about

    A recent poll conducted by the Israel Democracy Institute (IDI) indicates that the majority of Israelis are pessimistic about the prospects of a ceasefire deal with Hamas that would lead to the release of hostages held in Gaza.

    Why it matters

    This poll highlights Israeli concerns over ongoing hostage situations and the political and strategic motives behind Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s policies. The data provide insights into the public’s view on major national security issues, showcasing the broad range of opinions within Israeli society.

    Key findings

    Hostage Deal Pessimism

    78.5% of Jewish Israelis are pessimistic about the possibility of a ceasefire deal soon. However, optimism is higher among Israeli Arabs, with 48% expressing hope for such a deal.

    Motives Behind Netanyahu’s Policies

    51% of Israelis believe that Netanyahu’s stance in retaining control over the Philadelphi Corridor is based on military and strategic reasons, while 39% think it’s driven by his political goals. Jewish respondents leaned more towards strategic reasons (58.5%), whereas a majority of Arab Israelis (66.5%) view it as politically motivated.

    Last Chance for Hostage Deal

    Israelis are split on whether this is the last chance for a hostage deal, with both 44.5% believing in finality and an equal percentage disagreeing.

    Impact of Iranian Threat

    67% of Israelis feel the threat of an Iranian attack has little to no effect on their daily lives, and 55% say it impacts their mood minimally.

    Views on the Northern Border

    While 67% of Israelis support increased fighting against Hezbollah, Arab Israelis show a strong preference (77%) for a diplomatic resolution. Perspectives vary across the political spectrum concerning diplomacy versus intensified conflict.

    Military Success in Gaza

    64% of Jewish Israelis and 52% of Arab Israelis disagree that Israel has achieved all it can militarily in Gaza.

    Why Israelis Remain Vigilant

    66% of respondents feel that tensions between Netanyahu and Defense Minister Gallant are adversely affecting war management. Despite the challenges, optimism regarding the future of democracy and national security in Israel increased in August.

    The Bottom Line

    The IDI poll reflects a nation divided on key security and political issues but unified in its vigilance and resilience in the face of complex geopolitical challenges.

    This story was first published on jpost.com.

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